Model line
Middle Tennessee −4.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Middle Tennessee 67%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Middle Tennessee home
33%Win probability67%
The model makes Middle Tennessee a 4.3-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Kentucky offense vs Middle Tennessee defense
| Western Kentucky O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#59 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 47.5#329 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 14.5#44 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 31.8#134 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 41.2#45 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 11.9#338 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 51.2#213 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 45.8#350 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 33.4#204 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 75.7#62 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#184 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
Middle Tennessee offense vs Western Kentucky defense
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | Western Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #5970.9 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #17451.2 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #13717.2 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #13529.5 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #35746.8 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #3156.9 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #30757.6 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #14551.0 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #20634.3 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #9042.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Kentucky
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | L 87–96 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | FIU187 | L 67–92 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Missouri St.263 | L 74–87 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UTEP169 | W 97–65 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 93–70 |
Middle Tennessee
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |
