Model line
Western Kentucky −1.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Western Kentucky 58%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Missouri St. home
58%Win probability42%
The model makes Western Kentucky a 1.8-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Kentucky offense vs Missouri St. defense
| Western Kentucky O | Stat | Missouri St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#59 | Tempo | #28366.3 |
| 47.5#329 | eFG% | #21152.0 |
| 14.5#44 | TOV% | #16016.9 |
| 31.8#134 | ORB% | #26132.1 |
| 41.2#45 | FT rate | #30440.2 |
| 11.9#338 | Block% | #2288.5 |
| 51.2#213 | Assist% | #10749.8 |
| 45.8#350 | 2P% | #21452.3 |
| 33.4#204 | 3P% | #21334.4 |
| 75.7#62 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#184 | 3PA rate | #29535.8 |
Missouri St. offense vs Western Kentucky defense
| Missouri St. O | Stat | Western Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#283 | Tempo | #5970.9 |
| 51.1#190 | eFG% | #17451.2 |
| 16.7#176 | TOV% | #13717.2 |
| 32.0#124 | ORB% | #13529.5 |
| 43.8#12 | FT rate | #35746.8 |
| 13.6#360 | Block% | #3156.9 |
| 56.6#76 | Assist% | #30757.6 |
| 52.2#164 | 2P% | #14551.0 |
| 33.0#229 | 3P% | #20634.3 |
| 67.3#340 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#143 | 3PA rate | #9042.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Kentucky
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | L 87–96 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | FIU187 | L 67–92 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Missouri St.263 | L 74–87 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UTEP169 | W 97–65 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 93–70 |
Missouri St.
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 66–69 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Liberty149 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | FIU187 | W 75–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 63–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 87–74 |
