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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Jacksonville St. · #197 · CUSA · 0–0Liberty · #149 · CUSA · 0–1Sat, Feb 20 · 6:00 PM ETLiberty Arena (VA) · Lynchburg, VA
Model line
Liberty −9.0
Win probability
Liberty 83%
Projected tempo
68.3
possessions
Site
Liberty home
17%Win probability83%

The model makes Liberty a 9.0-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Jacksonville St. offense vs Liberty defense

Jacksonville St. OStatLiberty D
65.8#304Tempo#34064.5
49.7#250eFG%#25352.7
17.0#201TOV%#14117.1
29.8#208ORB%#29933.1
43.1#20FT rate#2227.0
9.7#209Block%#1989.0
49.6#251Assist%#4146.5
47.4#3262P%#11650.4
35.7#733P%#35337.7
68.4#314FT%—
38.1#2113PA rate#27436.6

Liberty offense vs Jacksonville St. defense

Liberty OStatJacksonville St. D
64.5#340Tempo#30465.8
59.1#4eFG%#8649.6
13.4#12TOV%#21216.2
19.3#365ORB%#6728.0
31.4#272FT rate#27938.7
11.0#302Block%#1679.5
61.4#21Assist%#15251.3
60.2#82P%#7249.3
38.6#123P%#14033.3
71.4#226FT%—
47.7#283PA rate#7342.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Jacksonville St.

Tue, Mar 10NNew Mexico St.140L 63–68
Sat, Mar 7AUTEP169W 64–61
Thu, Mar 5ANew Mexico St.140L 75–77
Sat, Feb 28HLiberty149L 78–81
Thu, Feb 26HDelaware258W 80–70

Liberty

Sun, Nov 1NHigh Point61L 57–72
Sat, Mar 21ANevada77L 63–73
Tue, Mar 17AGeorge Mason98W 77–71
Wed, Mar 11NMissouri St.263L 69–77
Sat, Mar 7HSam Houston St.171W 79–72