Model line
Missouri St. −1.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri St. 55%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Missouri St. home
45%Win probability55%
The model makes Missouri St. a 1.1-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Middle Tennessee offense vs Missouri St. defense
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | Missouri St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #28366.3 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #21152.0 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #16016.9 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #26132.1 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #30440.2 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #2288.5 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #10749.8 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #21452.3 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #21334.4 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #29535.8 |
Missouri St. offense vs Middle Tennessee defense
| Missouri St. O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#283 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 51.1#190 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 16.7#176 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 32.0#124 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 43.8#12 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 13.6#360 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 56.6#76 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 52.2#164 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 33.0#229 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 67.3#340 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#143 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Middle Tennessee
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |
Missouri St.
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 66–69 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Liberty149 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | FIU187 | W 75–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 63–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 87–74 |
