Model line
Middle Tennessee −6.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Middle Tennessee 75%
Projected tempo
68.8
possessions
Site
Middle Tennessee home
25%Win probability75%
The model makes Middle Tennessee a 6.5-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Liberty offense vs Middle Tennessee defense
| Liberty O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#340 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 59.1#4 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 13.4#12 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 19.3#365 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 31.4#272 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 11.0#302 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 61.4#21 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 60.2#8 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 38.6#12 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 71.4#226 | FT% | — |
| 47.7#28 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
Middle Tennessee offense vs Liberty defense
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | Liberty D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #34064.5 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #25352.7 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #14117.1 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #29933.1 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #2227.0 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #1989.0 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #4146.5 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #11650.4 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #35337.7 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #27436.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Liberty
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | High Point61 | L 57–72 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | Nevada77 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | George Mason98 | W 77–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Missouri St.263 | L 69–77 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 79–72 |
Middle Tennessee
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |
