Model line
Jacksonville St. −3.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Jacksonville St. 66%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Jacksonville St. home
34%Win probability66%
The model makes Jacksonville St. a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Mexico St. offense vs Jacksonville St. defense
| New Mexico St. O | Stat | Jacksonville St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#236 | Tempo | #30465.8 |
| 48.5#303 | eFG% | #8649.6 |
| 15.0#65 | TOV% | #21216.2 |
| 32.5#105 | ORB% | #6728.0 |
| 34.9#185 | FT rate | #27938.7 |
| 8.1#68 | Block% | #1679.5 |
| 49.3#259 | Assist% | #15251.3 |
| 48.5#297 | 2P% | #7249.3 |
| 32.4#262 | 3P% | #14033.3 |
| 73.5#153 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#196 | 3PA rate | #7342.9 |
Jacksonville St. offense vs New Mexico St. defense
| Jacksonville St. O | Stat | New Mexico St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#304 | Tempo | #23667.2 |
| 49.7#250 | eFG% | #5648.7 |
| 17.0#201 | TOV% | #30814.7 |
| 29.8#208 | ORB% | #17730.3 |
| 43.1#20 | FT rate | #34644.2 |
| 9.7#209 | Block% | #2029.0 |
| 49.6#251 | Assist% | #6147.8 |
| 47.4#326 | 2P% | #5948.8 |
| 35.7#73 | 3P% | #8532.4 |
| 68.4#314 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#211 | 3PA rate | #11641.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Mexico St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Sam Houston St.171 | L 61–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jacksonville St.197 | W 68–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kennesaw St.146 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Jacksonville St.197 | W 77–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Middle Tennessee160 | L 85–86 |
Jacksonville St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | New Mexico St.140 | L 63–68 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UTEP169 | W 64–61 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | New Mexico St.140 | L 75–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Liberty149 | L 78–81 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Delaware258 | W 80–70 |
