Model line
Liberty −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Liberty 87%
Projected tempo
68.5
possessions
Site
Liberty home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Liberty a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Missouri St. offense vs Liberty defense
| Missouri St. O | Stat | Liberty D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#283 | Tempo | #34064.5 |
| 51.1#190 | eFG% | #25352.7 |
| 16.7#176 | TOV% | #14117.1 |
| 32.0#124 | ORB% | #29933.1 |
| 43.8#12 | FT rate | #2227.0 |
| 13.6#360 | Block% | #1989.0 |
| 56.6#76 | Assist% | #4146.5 |
| 52.2#164 | 2P% | #11650.4 |
| 33.0#229 | 3P% | #35337.7 |
| 67.3#340 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#143 | 3PA rate | #27436.6 |
Liberty offense vs Missouri St. defense
| Liberty O | Stat | Missouri St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#340 | Tempo | #28366.3 |
| 59.1#4 | eFG% | #21152.0 |
| 13.4#12 | TOV% | #16016.9 |
| 19.3#365 | ORB% | #26132.1 |
| 31.4#272 | FT rate | #30440.2 |
| 11.0#302 | Block% | #2288.5 |
| 61.4#21 | Assist% | #10749.8 |
| 60.2#8 | 2P% | #21452.3 |
| 38.6#12 | 3P% | #21334.4 |
| 71.4#226 | FT% | — |
| 47.7#28 | 3PA rate | #29535.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Missouri St.
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 66–69 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Liberty149 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | FIU187 | W 75–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 63–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 87–74 |
Liberty
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | High Point61 | L 57–72 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | Nevada77 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | George Mason98 | W 77–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Missouri St.263 | L 69–77 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 79–72 |
