Model line
Liberty −5.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Liberty 73%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Liberty home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Liberty a 5.7-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Mexico St. offense vs Liberty defense
| New Mexico St. O | Stat | Liberty D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#236 | Tempo | #34064.5 |
| 48.5#303 | eFG% | #25352.7 |
| 15.0#65 | TOV% | #14117.1 |
| 32.5#105 | ORB% | #29933.1 |
| 34.9#185 | FT rate | #2227.0 |
| 8.1#68 | Block% | #1989.0 |
| 49.3#259 | Assist% | #4146.5 |
| 48.5#297 | 2P% | #11650.4 |
| 32.4#262 | 3P% | #35337.7 |
| 73.5#153 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#196 | 3PA rate | #27436.6 |
Liberty offense vs New Mexico St. defense
| Liberty O | Stat | New Mexico St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#340 | Tempo | #23667.2 |
| 59.1#4 | eFG% | #5648.7 |
| 13.4#12 | TOV% | #30814.7 |
| 19.3#365 | ORB% | #17730.3 |
| 31.4#272 | FT rate | #34644.2 |
| 11.0#302 | Block% | #2029.0 |
| 61.4#21 | Assist% | #6147.8 |
| 60.2#8 | 2P% | #5948.8 |
| 38.6#12 | 3P% | #8532.4 |
| 71.4#226 | FT% | — |
| 47.7#28 | 3PA rate | #11641.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Mexico St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Sam Houston St.171 | L 61–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jacksonville St.197 | W 68–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kennesaw St.146 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Jacksonville St.197 | W 77–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Middle Tennessee160 | L 85–86 |
Liberty
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | High Point61 | L 57–72 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | Nevada77 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | George Mason98 | W 77–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Missouri St.263 | L 69–77 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 79–72 |
