Model line
Missouri St. −3.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri St. 65%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Missouri St. home
35%Win probability65%
The model makes Missouri St. a 3.7-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Jacksonville St. offense vs Missouri St. defense
| Jacksonville St. O | Stat | Missouri St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#304 | Tempo | #28366.3 |
| 49.7#250 | eFG% | #21152.0 |
| 17.0#201 | TOV% | #16016.9 |
| 29.8#208 | ORB% | #26132.1 |
| 43.1#20 | FT rate | #30440.2 |
| 9.7#209 | Block% | #2288.5 |
| 49.6#251 | Assist% | #10749.8 |
| 47.4#326 | 2P% | #21452.3 |
| 35.7#73 | 3P% | #21334.4 |
| 68.4#314 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#211 | 3PA rate | #29535.8 |
Missouri St. offense vs Jacksonville St. defense
| Missouri St. O | Stat | Jacksonville St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#283 | Tempo | #30465.8 |
| 51.1#190 | eFG% | #8649.6 |
| 16.7#176 | TOV% | #21216.2 |
| 32.0#124 | ORB% | #6728.0 |
| 43.8#12 | FT rate | #27938.7 |
| 13.6#360 | Block% | #1679.5 |
| 56.6#76 | Assist% | #15251.3 |
| 52.2#164 | 2P% | #7249.3 |
| 33.0#229 | 3P% | #14033.3 |
| 67.3#340 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#143 | 3PA rate | #7342.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Jacksonville St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | New Mexico St.140 | L 63–68 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UTEP169 | W 64–61 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | New Mexico St.140 | L 75–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Liberty149 | L 78–81 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Delaware258 | W 80–70 |
Missouri St.
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 66–69 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Liberty149 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | FIU187 | W 75–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 63–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 87–74 |
