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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Sam Houston St. · #171 · CUSA · 0–0Liberty · #149 · CUSA · 0–1Thu, Jan 28 · 8:30 PM ETLiberty Arena (VA) · Lynchburg, VA
Model line
Liberty −8.5
Win probability
Liberty 81%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Liberty home
19%Win probability81%

The model makes Liberty a 8.5-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Sam Houston St. offense vs Liberty defense

Sam Houston St. OStatLiberty D
70.6#73Tempo#34064.5
52.5#126eFG%#25352.7
16.8#186TOV%#14117.1
35.9#28ORB%#29933.1
34.4#200FT rate#2227.0
8.4#95Block%#1989.0
52.6#176Assist%#4146.5
50.6#2312P%#11650.4
37.2#243P%#35337.7
71.6#219FT%—
35.8#2533PA rate#27436.6

Liberty offense vs Sam Houston St. defense

Liberty OStatSam Houston St. D
64.5#340Tempo#7370.6
59.1#4eFG%#17951.4
13.4#12TOV%#22116.1
19.3#365ORB%#16530.1
31.4#272FT rate#22936.7
11.0#302Block%#2847.6
61.4#21Assist%#12350.4
60.2#82P%#24953.3
38.6#123P%#8832.5
71.4#226FT%—
47.7#283PA rate#10041.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Sam Houston St.

Wed, Mar 18ANew Mexico66L 83–107
Fri, Mar 13NKennesaw St.146L 73–79
Wed, Mar 11NNew Mexico St.140W 69–61
Sat, Mar 7ALiberty149L 72–79
Thu, Mar 5ADelaware258L 80–83

Liberty

Sun, Nov 1NHigh Point61L 57–72
Sat, Mar 21ANevada77L 63–73
Tue, Mar 17AGeorge Mason98W 77–71
Wed, Mar 11NMissouri St.263L 69–77
Sat, Mar 7HSam Houston St.171W 79–72