Model line
Middle Tennessee −8.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Middle Tennessee 80%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Middle Tennessee home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes Middle Tennessee a 8.1-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
FIU offense vs Middle Tennessee defense
| FIU O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#31 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 50.6#205 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 17.7#250 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 33.9#69 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 38.6#85 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 8.4#91 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 49.9#241 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 49.9#257 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 34.7#136 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 69.4#286 | FT% | — |
| 32.7#321 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
Middle Tennessee offense vs FIU defense
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | FIU D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #3171.5 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #26352.9 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #2120.1 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #33434.8 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #20835.9 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #2113.2 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #35462.2 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #17651.7 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #31236.2 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #3045.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
FIU
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Missouri St.263 | L 72–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 92–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 67–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Louisiana Tech282 | W 84–76 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Sam Houston St.171 | L 67–100 |
Middle Tennessee
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |
