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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Western Kentucky · #119 · CUSA · 0–0Liberty · #149 · CUSA · 0–1Sat, Jan 16 · 12:00 PM ETLiberty Arena (VA) · Lynchburg, VA
Model line
Liberty −4.9
Win probability
Liberty 70%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Liberty home
31%Win probability70%

The model makes Liberty a 4.9-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Western Kentucky offense vs Liberty defense

Western Kentucky OStatLiberty D
70.9#59Tempo#34064.5
47.5#329eFG%#25352.7
14.5#44TOV%#14117.1
31.8#134ORB%#29933.1
41.2#45FT rate#2227.0
11.9#338Block%#1989.0
51.2#213Assist%#4146.5
45.8#3502P%#11650.4
33.4#2043P%#35337.7
75.7#62FT%—
39.4#1843PA rate#27436.6

Liberty offense vs Western Kentucky defense

Liberty OStatWestern Kentucky D
64.5#340Tempo#5970.9
59.1#4eFG%#17451.2
13.4#12TOV%#13717.2
19.3#365ORB%#13529.5
31.4#272FT rate#35746.8
11.0#302Block%#3156.9
61.4#21Assist%#30757.6
60.2#82P%#14551.0
38.6#123P%#20634.3
71.4#226FT%—
47.7#283PA rate#9042.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Western Kentucky

Thu, Mar 12NKennesaw St.146L 87–96
Sat, Mar 7AFIU187L 67–92
Thu, Mar 5AMissouri St.263L 74–87
Sat, Feb 28HUTEP169W 97–65
Thu, Feb 26HNew Mexico St.140W 93–70

Liberty

Sun, Nov 1NHigh Point61L 57–72
Sat, Mar 21ANevada77L 63–73
Tue, Mar 17AGeorge Mason98W 77–71
Wed, Mar 11NMissouri St.263L 69–77
Sat, Mar 7HSam Houston St.171W 79–72