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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Jacksonville St. · #197 · CUSA · 0–0New Mexico St. · #140 · CUSA · 0–0Thu, Jan 14 · 8:30 PM ETPan American Center · Las Cruces, NM
Model line
New Mexico St. −11.1
Win probability
New Mexico St. 88%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
New Mexico St. home
12%Win probability88%

The model makes New Mexico St. a 11.1-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Jacksonville St. offense vs New Mexico St. defense

Jacksonville St. OStatNew Mexico St. D
65.8#304Tempo#23667.2
49.7#250eFG%#5648.7
17.0#201TOV%#30814.7
29.8#208ORB%#17730.3
43.1#20FT rate#34644.2
9.7#209Block%#2029.0
49.6#251Assist%#6147.8
47.4#3262P%#5948.8
35.7#733P%#8532.4
68.4#314FT%—
38.1#2113PA rate#11641.3

New Mexico St. offense vs Jacksonville St. defense

New Mexico St. OStatJacksonville St. D
67.2#236Tempo#30465.8
48.5#303eFG%#8649.6
15.0#65TOV%#21216.2
32.5#105ORB%#6728.0
34.9#185FT rate#27938.7
8.1#68Block%#1679.5
49.3#259Assist%#15251.3
48.5#2972P%#7249.3
32.4#2623P%#14033.3
73.5#153FT%—
38.7#1963PA rate#7342.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Jacksonville St.

Tue, Mar 10NNew Mexico St.140L 63–68
Sat, Mar 7AUTEP169W 64–61
Thu, Mar 5ANew Mexico St.140L 75–77
Sat, Feb 28HLiberty149L 78–81
Thu, Feb 26HDelaware258W 80–70

New Mexico St.

Wed, Mar 11NSam Houston St.171L 61–69
Tue, Mar 10NJacksonville St.197W 68–63
Sat, Mar 7HKennesaw St.146W 79–76
Thu, Mar 5HJacksonville St.197W 77–75
Sat, Feb 28AMiddle Tennessee160L 85–86