Model line
Middle Tennessee −5.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Middle Tennessee 71%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Middle Tennessee home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Middle Tennessee a 5.3-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Mexico St. offense vs Middle Tennessee defense
| New Mexico St. O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#236 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 48.5#303 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 15.0#65 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 32.5#105 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 34.9#185 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 8.1#68 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 49.3#259 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 48.5#297 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 32.4#262 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 73.5#153 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#196 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
Middle Tennessee offense vs New Mexico St. defense
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | New Mexico St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #23667.2 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #5648.7 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #30814.7 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #17730.3 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #34644.2 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #2029.0 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #6147.8 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #5948.8 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #8532.4 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #11641.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Mexico St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Sam Houston St.171 | L 61–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jacksonville St.197 | W 68–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kennesaw St.146 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Jacksonville St.197 | W 77–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Middle Tennessee160 | L 85–86 |
Middle Tennessee
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |
