Model line
Western Kentucky −9.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Western Kentucky 83%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Western Kentucky home
17%Win probability83%
The model makes Western Kentucky a 9.2-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Mexico St. offense vs Western Kentucky defense
| New Mexico St. O | Stat | Western Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#236 | Tempo | #5970.9 |
| 48.5#303 | eFG% | #17451.2 |
| 15.0#65 | TOV% | #13717.2 |
| 32.5#105 | ORB% | #13529.5 |
| 34.9#185 | FT rate | #35746.8 |
| 8.1#68 | Block% | #3156.9 |
| 49.3#259 | Assist% | #30757.6 |
| 48.5#297 | 2P% | #14551.0 |
| 32.4#262 | 3P% | #20634.3 |
| 73.5#153 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#196 | 3PA rate | #9042.3 |
Western Kentucky offense vs New Mexico St. defense
| Western Kentucky O | Stat | New Mexico St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#59 | Tempo | #23667.2 |
| 47.5#329 | eFG% | #5648.7 |
| 14.5#44 | TOV% | #30814.7 |
| 31.8#134 | ORB% | #17730.3 |
| 41.2#45 | FT rate | #34644.2 |
| 11.9#338 | Block% | #2029.0 |
| 51.2#213 | Assist% | #6147.8 |
| 45.8#350 | 2P% | #5948.8 |
| 33.4#204 | 3P% | #8532.4 |
| 75.7#62 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#184 | 3PA rate | #11641.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Mexico St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Sam Houston St.171 | L 61–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jacksonville St.197 | W 68–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kennesaw St.146 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Jacksonville St.197 | W 77–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Middle Tennessee160 | L 85–86 |
Western Kentucky
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | L 87–96 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | FIU187 | L 67–92 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Missouri St.263 | L 74–87 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UTEP169 | W 97–65 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 93–70 |
