Model line
Middle Tennessee −7.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Middle Tennessee 79%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Middle Tennessee home
21%Win probability79%
The model makes Middle Tennessee a 7.6-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Sam Houston St. offense vs Middle Tennessee defense
| Sam Houston St. O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#73 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 52.5#126 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 16.8#186 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 35.9#28 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 34.4#200 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 8.4#95 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 52.6#176 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 50.6#231 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 37.2#24 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 71.6#219 | FT% | — |
| 35.8#253 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
Middle Tennessee offense vs Sam Houston St. defense
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | Sam Houston St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #7370.6 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #17951.4 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #22116.1 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #16530.1 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #22936.7 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #2847.6 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #12350.4 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #24953.3 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #8832.5 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #10041.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Sam Houston St.
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | New Mexico66 | L 83–107 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | L 73–79 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | New Mexico St.140 | W 69–61 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Liberty149 | L 72–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Delaware258 | L 80–83 |
Middle Tennessee
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |
