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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Liberty · #149 · CUSA · 0–1FIU · #187 · CUSA · 0–0Thu, Jan 7 · 9:00 PM ETOcean Bank Convocation Center · Miami, FL
Model line
FIU −5.3
Win probability
FIU 71%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
FIU home
29%Win probability71%

The model makes FIU a 5.3-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Liberty offense vs FIU defense

Liberty OStatFIU D
64.5#340Tempo#3171.5
59.1#4eFG%#26352.9
13.4#12TOV%#2120.1
19.3#365ORB%#33434.8
31.4#272FT rate#20835.9
11.0#302Block%#2113.2
61.4#21Assist%#35462.2
60.2#82P%#17651.7
38.6#123P%#31236.2
71.4#226FT%—
47.7#283PA rate#3045.1

FIU offense vs Liberty defense

FIU OStatLiberty D
71.5#31Tempo#34064.5
50.6#205eFG%#25352.7
17.7#250TOV%#14117.1
33.9#69ORB%#29933.1
38.6#85FT rate#2227.0
8.4#91Block%#1989.0
49.9#241Assist%#4146.5
49.9#2572P%#11650.4
34.7#1363P%#35337.7
69.4#286FT%—
32.7#3213PA rate#27436.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Liberty

Sun, Nov 1NHigh Point61L 57–72
Sat, Mar 21ANevada77L 63–73
Tue, Mar 17AGeorge Mason98W 77–71
Wed, Mar 11NMissouri St.263L 69–77
Sat, Mar 7HSam Houston St.171W 79–72

FIU

Tue, Mar 10NMissouri St.263L 72–75
Sat, Mar 7HWestern Kentucky119W 92–67
Thu, Mar 5HMiddle Tennessee160L 67–73
Sat, Feb 28ALouisiana Tech282W 84–76
Thu, Feb 26ASam Houston St.171L 67–100