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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Missouri St. · #263 · CUSA · 0–0New Mexico St. · #140 · CUSA · 0–0Sat, Jan 2 · 4:00 PM ETPan American Center · Las Cruces, NM
Model line
New Mexico St. −13.3
Win probability
New Mexico St. 92%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
New Mexico St. home
8%Win probability92%

The model makes New Mexico St. a 13.3-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Missouri St. offense vs New Mexico St. defense

Missouri St. OStatNew Mexico St. D
66.3#283Tempo#23667.2
51.1#190eFG%#5648.7
16.7#176TOV%#30814.7
32.0#124ORB%#17730.3
43.8#12FT rate#34644.2
13.6#360Block%#2029.0
56.6#76Assist%#6147.8
52.2#1642P%#5948.8
33.0#2293P%#8532.4
67.3#340FT%—
41.3#1433PA rate#11641.3

New Mexico St. offense vs Missouri St. defense

New Mexico St. OStatMissouri St. D
67.2#236Tempo#28366.3
48.5#303eFG%#21152.0
15.0#65TOV%#16016.9
32.5#105ORB%#26132.1
34.9#185FT rate#30440.2
8.1#68Block%#2288.5
49.3#259Assist%#10749.8
48.5#2972P%#21452.3
32.4#2623P%#21334.4
73.5#153FT%—
38.7#1963PA rate#29535.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Missouri St.

Fri, Mar 13NLouisiana Tech282L 66–69
Wed, Mar 11NLiberty149W 77–69
Tue, Mar 10NFIU187W 75–72
Sat, Mar 7HMiddle Tennessee160L 63–75
Thu, Mar 5HWestern Kentucky119W 87–74

New Mexico St.

Wed, Mar 11NSam Houston St.171L 61–69
Tue, Mar 10NJacksonville St.197W 68–63
Sat, Mar 7HKennesaw St.146W 79–76
Thu, Mar 5HJacksonville St.197W 77–75
Sat, Feb 28AMiddle Tennessee160L 85–86