Model line
Florida Gulf Coast −4.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida Gulf Coast 69%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Florida Gulf Coast home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes Florida Gulf Coast a 4.7-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Jacksonville offense vs Florida Gulf Coast defense
| Jacksonville O | Stat | Florida Gulf Coast D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#327 | Tempo | #14169.1 |
| 50.0#235 | eFG% | #27953.4 |
| 17.2#217 | TOV% | #18416.5 |
| 31.7#135 | ORB% | #7128.2 |
| 32.8#239 | FT rate | #26738.3 |
| 7.5#30 | Block% | #8311.1 |
| 44.7#338 | Assist% | #20953.3 |
| 51.5#191 | 2P% | #25853.6 |
| 31.7#292 | 3P% | #27235.4 |
| 72.3#195 | FT% | — |
| 37.4#223 | 3PA rate | #2246.2 |
Florida Gulf Coast offense vs Jacksonville defense
| Florida Gulf Coast O | Stat | Jacksonville D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#141 | Tempo | #32765.2 |
| 52.0#145 | eFG% | #32554.8 |
| 15.9#130 | TOV% | #28915.0 |
| 31.1#162 | ORB% | #11129.1 |
| 29.1#331 | FT rate | #33642.7 |
| 8.6#109 | Block% | #2618.0 |
| 52.0#191 | Assist% | #13650.8 |
| 53.3#116 | 2P% | #31055.0 |
| 33.2#216 | 3P% | #31736.3 |
| 72.1#202 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#202 | 3PA rate | #31335.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Jacksonville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Bellarmine305 | L 79–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Florida321 | W 85–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Stetson267 | W 89–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 61–65 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 84–86 |
Florida Gulf Coast
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 63–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Lipscomb199 | W 77–53 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | North Alabama315 | W 69–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stetson267 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | North Florida321 | L 70–76 |
