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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Bellarmine · #305 · ASun · 0–0Florida Gulf Coast · #275 · ASun · 0–0Sat, Feb 13 · 2:00 PM ETAlico Arena · Fort Myers, FL
Model line
Florida Gulf Coast −8.7
Win probability
Florida Gulf Coast 82%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Florida Gulf Coast home
18%Win probability82%

The model makes Florida Gulf Coast a 8.7-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Bellarmine offense vs Florida Gulf Coast defense

Bellarmine OStatFlorida Gulf Coast D
66.1#289Tempo#14169.1
59.4#3eFG%#27953.4
15.5#104TOV%#18416.5
22.4#354ORB%#7128.2
35.0#178FT rate#26738.3
9.1#149Block%#8311.1
53.4#155Assist%#20953.3
61.0#32P%#25853.6
38.1#173P%#27235.4
78.8#6FT%—
41.2#1453PA rate#2246.2

Florida Gulf Coast offense vs Bellarmine defense

Florida Gulf Coast OStatBellarmine D
69.1#141Tempo#28966.1
52.0#145eFG%#36559.4
15.9#130TOV%#28715.0
31.1#162ORB%#32134.2
29.1#331FT rate#15934.3
8.6#109Block%#3435.9
52.0#191Assist%#35361.9
53.3#1162P%#35258.1
33.2#2163P%#36440.4
72.1#202FT%—
38.4#2023PA rate#450.5

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Bellarmine

Fri, Mar 6NCentral Arkansas177L 73–86
Wed, Mar 4NJacksonville230W 82–79
Sat, Feb 28HAustin Peay195W 111–97
Wed, Feb 25ANorth Alabama315L 68–73
Sat, Feb 21HEastern Kentucky283L 92–95

Florida Gulf Coast

Sat, Mar 7NCentral Arkansas177L 63–73
Fri, Mar 6NLipscomb199W 77–53
Wed, Mar 4NNorth Alabama315W 69–58
Sat, Feb 28AStetson267L 63–78
Thu, Feb 26ANorth Florida321L 70–76