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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Jacksonville · #230 · ASun · 0–0Bellarmine · #305 · ASun · 0–0Thu, Feb 4 · 7:00 PM ETKnights Hall · Louisville, KY
Model line
Bellarmine −1.9
Win probability
Bellarmine 58%
Projected tempo
68.5
possessions
Site
Bellarmine home
42%Win probability58%

The model makes Bellarmine a 1.9-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Jacksonville offense vs Bellarmine defense

Jacksonville OStatBellarmine D
65.2#327Tempo#28966.1
50.0#235eFG%#36559.4
17.2#217TOV%#28715.0
31.7#135ORB%#32134.2
32.8#239FT rate#15934.3
7.5#30Block%#3435.9
44.7#338Assist%#35361.9
51.5#1912P%#35258.1
31.7#2923P%#36440.4
72.3#195FT%—
37.4#2233PA rate#450.5

Bellarmine offense vs Jacksonville defense

Bellarmine OStatJacksonville D
66.1#289Tempo#32765.2
59.4#3eFG%#32554.8
15.5#104TOV%#28915.0
22.4#354ORB%#11129.1
35.0#178FT rate#33642.7
9.1#149Block%#2618.0
53.4#155Assist%#13650.8
61.0#32P%#31055.0
38.1#173P%#31736.3
78.8#6FT%—
41.2#1453PA rate#31335.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Jacksonville

Wed, Mar 4NBellarmine305L 79–82
Sat, Feb 28ANorth Florida321W 85–61
Thu, Feb 26HStetson267W 89–85
Sat, Feb 21HAustin Peay195L 61–65
Wed, Feb 18AFlorida Gulf Coast275L 84–86

Bellarmine

Fri, Mar 6NCentral Arkansas177L 73–86
Wed, Mar 4NJacksonville230W 82–79
Sat, Feb 28HAustin Peay195W 111–97
Wed, Feb 25ANorth Alabama315L 68–73
Sat, Feb 21HEastern Kentucky283L 92–95