Model line
North Florida −3.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Florida 66%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
North Florida home
34%Win probability66%
The model makes North Florida a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Florida Gulf Coast offense vs North Florida defense
| Florida Gulf Coast O | Stat | North Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#141 | Tempo | #2572.0 |
| 52.0#145 | eFG% | #34956.3 |
| 15.9#130 | TOV% | #36212.7 |
| 31.1#162 | ORB% | #36137.6 |
| 29.1#331 | FT rate | #9231.4 |
| 8.6#109 | Block% | #3653.5 |
| 52.0#191 | Assist% | #17452.2 |
| 53.3#116 | 2P% | #35858.7 |
| 33.2#216 | 3P% | #25135.1 |
| 72.1#202 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#202 | 3PA rate | #20339.0 |
North Florida offense vs Florida Gulf Coast defense
| North Florida O | Stat | Florida Gulf Coast D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0#25 | Tempo | #14169.1 |
| 52.9#107 | eFG% | #27953.4 |
| 17.9#265 | TOV% | #18416.5 |
| 25.2#335 | ORB% | #7128.2 |
| 28.8#333 | FT rate | #26738.3 |
| 12.6#352 | Block% | #8311.1 |
| 50.6#229 | Assist% | #20953.3 |
| 53.4#111 | 2P% | #25853.6 |
| 35.0#118 | 3P% | #27235.4 |
| 77.8#22 | FT% | — |
| 51.7#7 | 3PA rate | #2246.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Florida Gulf Coast
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 63–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Lipscomb199 | W 77–53 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | North Alabama315 | W 69–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stetson267 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | North Florida321 | L 70–76 |
North Florida
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | West Georgia322 | L 85–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Jacksonville230 | L 61–85 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 76–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Stetson267 | L 71–76 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 76–77 |
