Model line
Jacksonville −9.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Jacksonville 84%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Jacksonville home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Jacksonville a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Stetson offense vs Jacksonville defense
| Stetson O | Stat | Jacksonville D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#205 | Tempo | #32765.2 |
| 53.1#102 | eFG% | #32554.8 |
| 18.1#281 | TOV% | #28915.0 |
| 26.6#309 | ORB% | #11129.1 |
| 32.4#252 | FT rate | #33642.7 |
| 7.7#42 | Block% | #2618.0 |
| 58.5#50 | Assist% | #13650.8 |
| 52.5#148 | 2P% | #31055.0 |
| 36.0#61 | 3P% | #31736.3 |
| 69.2#295 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#76 | 3PA rate | #31335.2 |
Jacksonville offense vs Stetson defense
| Jacksonville O | Stat | Stetson D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#327 | Tempo | #20567.9 |
| 50.0#235 | eFG% | #33855.2 |
| 17.2#217 | TOV% | #28315.1 |
| 31.7#135 | ORB% | #24931.8 |
| 32.8#239 | FT rate | #7230.4 |
| 7.5#30 | Block% | #3485.8 |
| 44.7#338 | Assist% | #24154.5 |
| 51.5#191 | 2P% | #34957.6 |
| 31.7#292 | 3P% | #22634.6 |
| 72.3#195 | FT% | — |
| 37.4#223 | 3PA rate | #12541.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Stetson
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Austin Peay195 | L 60–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Eastern Kentucky283 | W 92–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 78–63 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Jacksonville230 | L 85–89 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Florida321 | W 76–71 |
Jacksonville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Bellarmine305 | L 79–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Florida321 | W 85–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Stetson267 | W 89–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 61–65 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 84–86 |
