Model line
Jacksonville −11.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Jacksonville 88%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Jacksonville home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Jacksonville a 11.3-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Florida offense vs Jacksonville defense
| North Florida O | Stat | Jacksonville D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0#25 | Tempo | #32765.2 |
| 52.9#107 | eFG% | #32554.8 |
| 17.9#265 | TOV% | #28915.0 |
| 25.2#335 | ORB% | #11129.1 |
| 28.8#333 | FT rate | #33642.7 |
| 12.6#352 | Block% | #2618.0 |
| 50.6#229 | Assist% | #13650.8 |
| 53.4#111 | 2P% | #31055.0 |
| 35.0#118 | 3P% | #31736.3 |
| 77.8#22 | FT% | — |
| 51.7#7 | 3PA rate | #31335.2 |
Jacksonville offense vs North Florida defense
| Jacksonville O | Stat | North Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#327 | Tempo | #2572.0 |
| 50.0#235 | eFG% | #34956.3 |
| 17.2#217 | TOV% | #36212.7 |
| 31.7#135 | ORB% | #36137.6 |
| 32.8#239 | FT rate | #9231.4 |
| 7.5#30 | Block% | #3653.5 |
| 44.7#338 | Assist% | #17452.2 |
| 51.5#191 | 2P% | #35858.7 |
| 31.7#292 | 3P% | #25135.1 |
| 72.3#195 | FT% | — |
| 37.4#223 | 3PA rate | #20339.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Florida
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | West Georgia322 | L 85–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Jacksonville230 | L 61–85 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 76–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Stetson267 | L 71–76 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 76–77 |
Jacksonville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Bellarmine305 | L 79–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Florida321 | W 85–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Stetson267 | W 89–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 61–65 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 84–86 |
