Model line
Jacksonville −10.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Jacksonville 87%
Projected tempo
68.5
possessions
Site
Jacksonville home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Jacksonville a 10.8-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bellarmine offense vs Jacksonville defense
| Bellarmine O | Stat | Jacksonville D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#289 | Tempo | #32765.2 |
| 59.4#3 | eFG% | #32554.8 |
| 15.5#104 | TOV% | #28915.0 |
| 22.4#354 | ORB% | #11129.1 |
| 35.0#178 | FT rate | #33642.7 |
| 9.1#149 | Block% | #2618.0 |
| 53.4#155 | Assist% | #13650.8 |
| 61.0#3 | 2P% | #31055.0 |
| 38.1#17 | 3P% | #31736.3 |
| 78.8#6 | FT% | — |
| 41.2#145 | 3PA rate | #31335.2 |
Jacksonville offense vs Bellarmine defense
| Jacksonville O | Stat | Bellarmine D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#327 | Tempo | #28966.1 |
| 50.0#235 | eFG% | #36559.4 |
| 17.2#217 | TOV% | #28715.0 |
| 31.7#135 | ORB% | #32134.2 |
| 32.8#239 | FT rate | #15934.3 |
| 7.5#30 | Block% | #3435.9 |
| 44.7#338 | Assist% | #35361.9 |
| 51.5#191 | 2P% | #35258.1 |
| 31.7#292 | 3P% | #36440.4 |
| 72.3#195 | FT% | — |
| 37.4#223 | 3PA rate | #450.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bellarmine
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 73–86 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Jacksonville230 | W 82–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Austin Peay195 | W 111–97 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | North Alabama315 | L 68–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Eastern Kentucky283 | L 92–95 |
Jacksonville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Bellarmine305 | L 79–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Florida321 | W 85–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Stetson267 | W 89–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 61–65 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 84–86 |
