Model line
North Florida −4.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Florida 69%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
North Florida home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes North Florida a 4.8-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bellarmine offense vs North Florida defense
| Bellarmine O | Stat | North Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#289 | Tempo | #2572.0 |
| 59.4#3 | eFG% | #34956.3 |
| 15.5#104 | TOV% | #36212.7 |
| 22.4#354 | ORB% | #36137.6 |
| 35.0#178 | FT rate | #9231.4 |
| 9.1#149 | Block% | #3653.5 |
| 53.4#155 | Assist% | #17452.2 |
| 61.0#3 | 2P% | #35858.7 |
| 38.1#17 | 3P% | #25135.1 |
| 78.8#6 | FT% | — |
| 41.2#145 | 3PA rate | #20339.0 |
North Florida offense vs Bellarmine defense
| North Florida O | Stat | Bellarmine D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0#25 | Tempo | #28966.1 |
| 52.9#107 | eFG% | #36559.4 |
| 17.9#265 | TOV% | #28715.0 |
| 25.2#335 | ORB% | #32134.2 |
| 28.8#333 | FT rate | #15934.3 |
| 12.6#352 | Block% | #3435.9 |
| 50.6#229 | Assist% | #35361.9 |
| 53.4#111 | 2P% | #35258.1 |
| 35.0#118 | 3P% | #36440.4 |
| 77.8#22 | FT% | — |
| 51.7#7 | 3PA rate | #450.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bellarmine
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 73–86 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Jacksonville230 | W 82–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Austin Peay195 | W 111–97 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | North Alabama315 | L 68–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Eastern Kentucky283 | L 92–95 |
North Florida
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | West Georgia322 | L 85–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Jacksonville230 | L 61–85 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 76–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Stetson267 | L 71–76 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 76–77 |
