Model line
UNC Wilmington −14.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 94%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
UNC Wilmington home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 14.4-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Elon offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| Elon O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#198 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 52.2#136 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 15.9#129 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 32.2#116 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 33.5#224 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 11.2#313 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 54.6#122 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 52.8#135 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 34.3#156 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 71.4#225 | FT% | — |
| 43.2#106 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
UNC Wilmington offense vs Elon defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | Elon D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #19868.0 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #30154.0 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #19316.4 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #30733.5 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #16734.6 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #2048.9 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #28356.1 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #24653.3 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #32436.5 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #3844.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Elon
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | William & Mary201 | L 62–72 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 57–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Monmouth193 | L 57–73 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Towson179 | L 56–58 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Carolina A&T300 | L 82–102 |
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
