Model line
UNC Wilmington −2.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 59%
Projected tempo
68.4
possessions
Site
Drexel home
59%Win probability41%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 2.2-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNC Wilmington offense vs Drexel defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | Drexel D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #32665.2 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #2247.1 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #19216.4 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #20131.0 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #19235.4 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #1669.5 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #5247.3 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #4247.9 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #1130.3 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #33334.1 |
Drexel offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| Drexel O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#326 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 50.7#200 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 19.0#321 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 31.2#155 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 31.6#265 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 9.3#160 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 53.6#148 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 49.0#283 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 35.5#90 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 66.5#348 | FT% | — |
| 40.0#171 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
Drexel
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Monmouth193 | L 57–65 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Northeastern252 | W 84–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Hofstra148 | L 51–62 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Campbell260 | W 65–60 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Towson179 | W 68–62 |
