Model line
UNC Wilmington −13.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 93%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
UNC Wilmington home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 13.7-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Stony Brook offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| Stony Brook O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.4#281 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 50.2#228 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 16.8#188 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 28.0#269 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 28.4#338 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 11.7#333 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 52.4#183 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 48.5#299 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 34.8#132 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 72.3#197 | FT% | — |
| 45.8#50 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
UNC Wilmington offense vs Stony Brook defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | Stony Brook D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #28166.4 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #13950.7 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #14817.1 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #27932.4 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #19335.4 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #11610.5 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #21153.3 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #6048.8 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #29335.7 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #16639.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Stony Brook
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Campbell260 | L 89–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Towson179 | L 57–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Hofstra148 | L 58–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Monmouth193 | L 69–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Hampton221 | W 79–72 |
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
