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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Elon · #233 · CAA · 0–0Stony Brook · #225 · CAA · 0–0Thu, Feb 4 · 6:30 PM ETStony Brook Arena · Stony Brook, NY
Model line
Stony Brook −7.0
Win probability
Stony Brook 77%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Stony Brook home
23%Win probability77%

The model makes Stony Brook a 7.0-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Elon offense vs Stony Brook defense

Elon OStatStony Brook D
68.0#198Tempo#28166.4
52.2#136eFG%#13950.7
15.9#129TOV%#14817.1
32.2#116ORB%#27932.4
33.5#224FT rate#19335.4
11.2#313Block%#11610.5
54.6#122Assist%#21153.3
52.8#1352P%#6048.8
34.3#1563P%#29335.7
71.4#225FT%—
43.2#1063PA rate#16639.8

Stony Brook offense vs Elon defense

Stony Brook OStatElon D
66.4#281Tempo#19868.0
50.2#228eFG%#30154.0
16.8#188TOV%#19316.4
28.0#269ORB%#30733.5
28.4#338FT rate#16734.6
11.7#333Block%#2048.9
52.4#183Assist%#28356.1
48.5#2992P%#24653.3
34.8#1323P%#32436.5
72.3#197FT%—
45.8#503PA rate#3844.5

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Elon

Sat, Mar 7NWilliam & Mary201L 62–72
Tue, Mar 3HUNC Wilmington107L 57–76
Sat, Feb 28AMonmouth193L 57–73
Thu, Feb 26ATowson179L 56–58
Sat, Feb 21HNorth Carolina A&T300L 82–102

Stony Brook

Sat, Mar 7NCampbell260L 89–96
Tue, Mar 3HTowson179L 57–69
Sat, Feb 28AHofstra148L 58–67
Thu, Feb 26AMonmouth193L 69–82
Sat, Feb 21HHampton221W 79–72