Model line
UNC Wilmington −9.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 85%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
UNC Wilmington home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 9.8-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Charleston offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| Charleston O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#183 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 50.5#212 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 15.7#115 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 29.9#203 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 41.2#42 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 8.6#107 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 52.6#173 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 53.4#109 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 30.6#330 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 73.6#146 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#209 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
UNC Wilmington offense vs Charleston defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | Charleston D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #18368.3 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #7449.2 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #30614.7 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #27132.3 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #1426.1 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #2612.9 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #20653.2 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #7749.5 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #8932.6 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #4943.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Charleston
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Towson179 | L 56–81 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Hampton221 | W 85–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Monmouth193 | W 74–63 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | North Carolina A&T300 | W 74–61 |
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
