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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UNC Wilmington · #107 · CAA · 0–0Hofstra · #148 · CAA · 1–0Sat, Jan 23 · 4:00 PM ETDavid S. Mack Sports and Exhibition Complex · Hempstead, NY
Model line
Hofstra −3.6
Win probability
Hofstra 65%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Hofstra home
35%Win probability65%

The model makes Hofstra a 3.6-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UNC Wilmington offense vs Hofstra defense

UNC Wilmington OStatHofstra D
66.1#292Tempo#31965.4
50.4#223eFG%#1646.3
14.8#57TOV%#29414.9
35.3#44ORB%#20231.0
40.4#56FT rate#17935.1
7.9#56Block%#11810.4
51.7#196Assist%#25455.0
49.1#2822P%#744.7
35.0#1233P%#7532.3
68.7#306FT%—
38.8#1953PA rate#12241.1

Hofstra offense vs UNC Wilmington defense

Hofstra OStatUNC Wilmington D
65.4#319Tempo#29266.1
51.4#177eFG%#3547.5
16.1#144TOV%#29914.9
34.7#55ORB%#5227.6
31.6#266FT rate#10031.7
10.7#283Block%#3037.3
48.3#278Assist%#6747.9
48.1#3052P%#9049.7
37.1#253P%#629.7
75.8#55FT%—
42.8#1183PA rate#8242.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UNC Wilmington

Sat, Mar 21HDayton67L 61–80
Tue, Mar 17AYale145W 68–67
Sun, Mar 8NCampbell260L 70–85
Tue, Mar 3AElon233W 76–57
Sun, Mar 1HCharleston133L 76–79

Hofstra

Mon, Nov 2HSt Joseph's LIW 97–51
Fri, Mar 20NAlabama16L 70–90
Tue, Mar 10NMonmouth193W 75–69
Mon, Mar 9NTowson179W 68–65
Sun, Mar 8NWilliam & Mary201W 92–61