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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Stony Brook · #225 · CAA · 0–0Northeastern · #252 · CAA · 0–0Sat, Jan 23 · 4:00 PM ETCabot Center · Boston, MA
Model line
Northeastern −5.8
Win probability
Northeastern 73%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Northeastern home
27%Win probability73%

The model makes Northeastern a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Stony Brook offense vs Northeastern defense

Stony Brook OStatNortheastern D
66.4#281Tempo#10469.7
50.2#228eFG%#35156.4
16.8#188TOV%#16716.8
28.0#269ORB%#17430.2
28.4#338FT rate#32041.9
11.7#333Block%#2558.1
52.4#183Assist%#11950.2
48.5#2992P%#35057.8
34.8#1323P%#29635.8
72.3#197FT%—
45.8#503PA rate#31435.2

Northeastern offense vs Stony Brook defense

Northeastern OStatStony Brook D
69.7#104Tempo#28166.4
52.4#128eFG%#13950.7
16.4#159TOV%#14817.1
27.3#287ORB%#27932.4
29.4#324FT rate#19335.4
9.5#187Block%#11610.5
55.7#96Assist%#21153.3
53.6#1032P%#6048.8
33.7#1883P%#29335.7
69.0#298FT%—
37.8#2173PA rate#16639.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Stony Brook

Sat, Mar 7NCampbell260L 89–96
Tue, Mar 3HTowson179L 57–69
Sat, Feb 28AHofstra148L 58–67
Thu, Feb 26AMonmouth193L 69–82
Sat, Feb 21HHampton221W 79–72

Northeastern

Sat, Mar 7NDrexel256L 77–84
Fri, Mar 6NNorth Carolina A&T300W 88–72
Tue, Mar 3HMonmouth193L 83–89
Sat, Feb 28AHampton221L 65–76
Thu, Feb 26AWilliam & Mary201L 77–84