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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UNC Wilmington · #107 · CAA · 0–0Monmouth · #193 · CAA · 0–0Thu, Jan 21 · 7:00 PM ETOceanFirst Bank Center · West Long Branch, NJ
Model line
Monmouth −1.0
Win probability
Monmouth 54%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Monmouth home
46%Win probability54%

The model makes Monmouth a 1.0-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UNC Wilmington offense vs Monmouth defense

UNC Wilmington OStatMonmouth D
66.1#292Tempo#23467.2
50.4#223eFG%#10450.1
14.8#57TOV%#2519.9
35.3#44ORB%#29032.8
40.4#56FT rate#11032.2
7.9#56Block%#5211.9
51.7#196Assist%#13750.8
49.1#2822P%#8749.6
35.0#1233P%#17633.9
68.7#306FT%—
38.8#1953PA rate#22238.3

Monmouth offense vs UNC Wilmington defense

Monmouth OStatUNC Wilmington D
67.2#234Tempo#29266.1
49.6#259eFG%#3547.5
16.6#172TOV%#29914.9
31.2#156ORB%#5227.6
32.7#247FT rate#10031.7
8.7#123Block%#3037.3
53.9#140Assist%#6747.9
48.7#2922P%#9049.7
34.2#1623P%#629.7
75.0#82FT%—
34.4#2873PA rate#8242.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UNC Wilmington

Sat, Mar 21HDayton67L 61–80
Tue, Mar 17AYale145W 68–67
Sun, Mar 8NCampbell260L 70–85
Tue, Mar 3AElon233W 76–57
Sun, Mar 1HCharleston133L 76–79

Monmouth

Tue, Mar 10NHofstra148L 69–75
Mon, Mar 9NCampbell260W 74–64
Sun, Mar 8NDrexel256W 65–57
Tue, Mar 3ANortheastern252W 89–83
Sat, Feb 28HElon233W 73–57