Model line
UNC Wilmington −13.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 93%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
UNC Wilmington home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 13.7-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
William & Mary offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| William & Mary O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.6#9 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 54.3#58 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 16.5#169 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 26.0#323 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 44.0#10 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 9.8#227 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 63.8#9 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 57.9#24 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 33.0#233 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 74.9#89 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#121 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
UNC Wilmington offense vs William & Mary defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | William & Mary D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #973.6 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #20851.9 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #5419.0 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #23031.5 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #19935.5 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #6711.5 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #23454.2 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #26653.7 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #13233.1 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #2845.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
William & Mary
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Hofstra148 | L 61–92 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Elon233 | W 72–62 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Hampton221 | W 94–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Carolina A&T300 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Northeastern252 | W 84–77 |
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
