Model line
UNC Wilmington −7.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 77%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
North Carolina A&T home
77%Win probability23%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 7.1-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNC Wilmington offense vs North Carolina A&T defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | North Carolina A&T D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #14569.1 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #26552.9 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #33214.1 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #9128.6 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #25037.5 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #12910.2 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #32658.5 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #17951.7 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #33336.6 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #22838.1 |
North Carolina A&T offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| North Carolina A&T O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#145 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 50.7#202 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 18.6#305 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 31.7#136 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 42.3#26 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 8.4#93 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 45.4#328 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 52.3#157 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 31.6#302 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 73.5#154 | FT% | — |
| 32.7#322 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
North Carolina A&T
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northeastern252 | L 72–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Campbell260 | L 72–90 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | William & Mary201 | L 88–91 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | L 65–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Elon233 | W 102–82 |
