Model line
UNC Wilmington −16.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 96%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
UNC Wilmington home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 16.2-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northeastern offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| Northeastern O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#104 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 52.4#128 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 16.4#159 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 27.3#287 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 29.4#324 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 9.5#187 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 55.7#96 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 53.6#103 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 33.7#188 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 69.0#298 | FT% | — |
| 37.8#217 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
UNC Wilmington offense vs Northeastern defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | Northeastern D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #10469.7 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #35156.4 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #16716.8 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #17430.2 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #32041.9 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #2558.1 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #11950.2 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #35057.8 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #29635.8 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #31435.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northeastern
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Drexel256 | L 77–84 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | North Carolina A&T300 | W 88–72 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Monmouth193 | L 83–89 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Hampton221 | L 65–76 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | William & Mary201 | L 77–84 |
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
