Model line
Mississippi St. −4.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mississippi St. 70%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Mississippi St. home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Mississippi St. a 4.9-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ole Miss offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| Ole Miss O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#189 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 50.4#219 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 14.0#23 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 28.3#256 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 33.0#236 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 7.9#54 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 50.2#240 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 50.8#219 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 33.2#218 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 74.9#87 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#260 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Mississippi St. offense vs Ole Miss defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | Ole Miss D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #18968.3 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #12950.5 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #19616.4 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #28632.6 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #31441.2 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #2712.9 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #30557.4 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #13150.8 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #14533.4 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #8142.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ole Miss
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arkansas23 | L 90–93 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Alabama16 | W 80–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgia40 | W 76–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Texas10 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | South Carolina91 | L 61–64 |
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
