Model line
Missouri −10.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri 85%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Missouri home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Missouri a 10.0-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
LSU offense vs Missouri defense
| LSU O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Missouri offense vs LSU defense
| Missouri O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
LSU
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
