Model line
Auburn −4.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Auburn 67%
Projected tempo
72.7
possessions
Site
Auburn home
33%Win probability67%
The model makes Auburn a 4.2-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alabama offense vs Auburn defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Auburn D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #13969.1 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #28353.5 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #21616.1 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #23731.7 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #17434.9 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #5811.7 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #15451.4 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #22552.7 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #32336.5 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #17539.6 |
Auburn offense vs Alabama defense
| Auburn O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#139 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 52.3#130 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 14.7#48 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 37.5#11 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 44.2#8 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 12.6#351 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 46.9#304 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 53.3#114 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 33.9#177 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 74.5#102 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#165 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
Auburn
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Tulsa104 | W 92–86 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 88–66 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Nevada77 | W 75–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Seattle115 | W 91–85 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | South Alabama244 | W 78–67 |
