Model line
Arkansas −7.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas 79%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Arkansas home
21%Win probability79%
The model makes Arkansas a 7.8-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oklahoma offense vs Arkansas defense
| Oklahoma O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#177 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 55.1#38 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 14.4#40 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 33.6#76 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 35.9#158 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 10.0#239 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 50.2#239 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 55.0#58 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 36.8#34 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 74.5#103 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#95 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Arkansas offense vs Oklahoma defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Oklahoma D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #17768.4 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #17051.2 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #26715.3 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #29733.0 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #15134.0 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #12010.4 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #13150.7 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #15051.1 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #19734.2 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #17139.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oklahoma
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | West Virginia51 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Baylor32 | W 82–69 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Colorado87 | W 90–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arkansas23 | L 79–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 83–63 |
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
