Model line
Florida −6.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida 76%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
South Carolina home
76%Win probability24%
The model makes Florida a 6.8-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Florida offense vs South Carolina defense
| Florida O | Stat | South Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#16 | Tempo | #20068.0 |
| 54.1#65 | eFG% | #19251.6 |
| 16.3#154 | TOV% | #31614.6 |
| 43.5#2 | ORB% | #26532.1 |
| 38.6#86 | FT rate | #15334.0 |
| 7.2#18 | Block% | #3386.2 |
| 54.5#125 | Assist% | #30257.2 |
| 58.4#17 | 2P% | #26553.7 |
| 31.2#314 | 3P% | #5631.8 |
| 71.1#233 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#232 | 3PA rate | #29735.8 |
South Carolina offense vs Florida defense
| South Carolina O | Stat | Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#200 | Tempo | #1672.4 |
| 50.3#226 | eFG% | #1045.9 |
| 14.5#43 | TOV% | #27015.2 |
| 27.2#291 | ORB% | #724.6 |
| 36.7#140 | FT rate | #14433.8 |
| 11.1#310 | Block% | #3412.6 |
| 52.9#168 | Assist% | #1844.3 |
| 53.2#124 | 2P% | #544.6 |
| 31.1#317 | 3P% | #7132.2 |
| 78.1#17 | FT% | — |
| 44.4#81 | 3PA rate | #33633.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Florida
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa41 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | W 114–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 74–91 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kentucky20 | W 71–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kentucky20 | W 84–77 |
South Carolina
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 74–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 64–61 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Tennessee11 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia40 | L 68–87 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Kentucky20 | L 63–72 |
