Model line
Kentucky −8.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kentucky 82%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Kentucky home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes Kentucky a 8.6-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas A&M offense vs Kentucky defense
| Texas A&M O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0#26 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 53.8#75 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 14.7#52 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 32.0#125 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 37.1#128 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 11.7#334 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 61.2#24 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 53.8#90 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 35.9#64 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 73.8#143 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#43 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Kentucky offense vs Texas A&M defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | Texas A&M D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #2672.0 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #14250.7 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #8118.4 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #29833.0 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #19135.3 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #2328.5 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #27355.7 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #23652.9 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #5731.8 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #10141.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas A&M
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Houston4 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 63–50 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 63–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | LSU55 | W 94–91 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Kentucky20 | W 96–85 |
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
