Model line
Alabama −11.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama 88%
Projected tempo
74.0
possessions
Site
Alabama home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Alabama a 11.0-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia offense vs Alabama defense
| Georgia O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.7#8 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 54.2#62 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 14.3#30 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 34.9#49 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 36.9#132 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 9.8#221 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 48.1#283 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 57.0#30 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 33.8#183 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 75.0#81 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#83 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Alabama offense vs Georgia defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Georgia D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #873.7 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #13250.6 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #7818.4 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #33734.9 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #6330.2 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #1014.9 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #6948.1 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #12450.7 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #16033.6 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #24737.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Saint Louis60 | L 77–102 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 72–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 102–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Alabama16 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Carolina91 | W 87–68 |
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
