Model line
Texas −10.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas 87%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Texas home
14%Win probability87%
The model makes Texas a 10.5-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Missouri offense vs Texas defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Missouri defense
| Texas O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
