Model line
Tennessee −15.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee 94%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Tennessee home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Tennessee a 15.1-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi St. offense vs Tennessee defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Tennessee offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
