Model line
LSU −4.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
LSU 68%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
LSU home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes LSU a 4.6-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas offense vs LSU defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
LSU offense vs Arkansas defense
| LSU O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
LSU
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |
