Model line
Texas −8.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas 82%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Texas home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes Texas a 8.7-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tennessee offense vs Texas defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Tennessee defense
| Texas O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
