Model line
Kentucky −7.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kentucky 79%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Kentucky home
21%Win probability79%
The model makes Kentucky a 7.5-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Auburn offense vs Kentucky defense
| Auburn O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#139 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 52.3#130 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 14.7#48 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 37.5#11 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 44.2#8 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 12.6#351 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 46.9#304 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 53.3#114 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 33.9#177 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 74.5#102 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#165 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Kentucky offense vs Auburn defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | Auburn D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #13969.1 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #28353.5 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #21616.1 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #23731.7 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #17434.9 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #5811.7 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #15451.4 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #22552.7 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #32336.5 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #17539.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Auburn
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Tulsa104 | W 92–86 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 88–66 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Nevada77 | W 75–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Seattle115 | W 91–85 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | South Alabama244 | W 78–67 |
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
