Model line
Georgia −5.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Georgia 73%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Georgia home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Georgia a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Missouri offense vs Georgia defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Georgia D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #873.7 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #13250.6 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #7818.4 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #33734.9 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #6330.2 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #1014.9 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #6948.1 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #12450.7 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #16033.6 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #24737.6 |
Georgia offense vs Missouri defense
| Georgia O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.7#8 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 54.2#62 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 14.3#30 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 34.9#49 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 36.9#132 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 9.8#221 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 48.1#283 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 57.0#30 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 33.8#183 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 75.0#81 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#83 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
Georgia
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Saint Louis60 | L 77–102 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 72–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 102–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Alabama16 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Carolina91 | W 87–68 |
